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Friday, June 30th, 2023 07:19 am
One moment, the Wagner Group is headed to Moscow with no - or token - resistance from the Russian military. It looked like an armed coup was underway!

Next moment, the head of the group - Yevgeny Prigozhin tells everyone to turn around and he heads to exile in Belarus.

Without (almost) firing a shot, Putin has eliminated an armed rival. I don't know how he did so, but separated from his armed gang, Prigozhin is toast and without a leader the Wagner Group is a disorganized mob. Easy pickings.

So the Wagner Group will be dismembered by being 'retired' to civilian life (where they can be disarmed and safely arrested), join their boss in Belarus (and how are they going to get there?) or be blended in with the Russian army (off to the front with you!).

Don't underestimate Putin.

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