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Saturday, August 26th, 2023 08:09 pm (UTC)

I reverently hope this is finally happening, but still too soon to tell.

Line charges/cluster munitions are great, when (1) they actually work (like anything, less often in real life than in theory), and (2) you have enough of them.

The Russian Army may be inflexible, and badly trained and led, but they do know how to build defense barriers (you don't have to be flexible, it's not that hard to plan or implement, just takes lots of work), and they have them in massive depth.

Like everyone (in the Western world) I was hoping for much faster gains by the Ukrainians, but if they were advancing at all, considering out-numbered and against massively prepared defences, then they were doing great. If they've actually broken through, they doing beyond great.

Definitely keep the supplies flowing into the Ukrainians. Whatever, and as much as they need. Sadly, we are going to need to build up our defense industry. We've seen how much stuff, especially ammo, gets consumed in a modern war. We've been fighting brush-fire wars/insurgencies for so long, we've forgotten this. Even today, it can take 2+ years to build a factory, and our stockpiles were way too low even before we started shipping stuff to Ukraine.

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