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Some possible scenerios
I'm not really that good at prediction, but I'm going to give it a shot.
It'll go down in this order:
China flexes it's muscles in the South China Sea
Trump sends in the fleet to confront them.
If someone gets trigger happy the Chinese fleet will not do well against the American fleet. I'm not going down that fork... it's too messy to guess at. North Korea might lob some missiles but they'll probably end up shooting themselves in the foot.
If not, tensions will still be high. The Chinese government shuts down trade with the USA.
The US consumer electronics market crashes. Worse, the US IT market crashes. Most computer/networking/Internet components are Chinese in origin.
Walmart and similar stores crash. The US economy crashes.
While Trump points the finger at China for causing problems and attempts the rally the country behind him, Russia attacks the Ukraine.
(( The Russian tank corps will roll in about 150 miles before they break down. ))
Naturally, because Trump loves Putin, he stalls. NATO either becomes paralyzed or the Europeans say, "F*ck it", and unite long enough to take the war to Putin.
So we have the possibility of Polish and German troops marching side by side, entering the Ukraine and being hailed... as liberators.
Pity about the millions who will get killed, displaced and injured.
-m
It'll go down in this order:
China flexes it's muscles in the South China Sea
Trump sends in the fleet to confront them.
If someone gets trigger happy the Chinese fleet will not do well against the American fleet. I'm not going down that fork... it's too messy to guess at. North Korea might lob some missiles but they'll probably end up shooting themselves in the foot.
If not, tensions will still be high. The Chinese government shuts down trade with the USA.
The US consumer electronics market crashes. Worse, the US IT market crashes. Most computer/networking/Internet components are Chinese in origin.
Walmart and similar stores crash. The US economy crashes.
While Trump points the finger at China for causing problems and attempts the rally the country behind him, Russia attacks the Ukraine.
(( The Russian tank corps will roll in about 150 miles before they break down. ))
Naturally, because Trump loves Putin, he stalls. NATO either becomes paralyzed or the Europeans say, "F*ck it", and unite long enough to take the war to Putin.
So we have the possibility of Polish and German troops marching side by side, entering the Ukraine and being hailed... as liberators.
Pity about the millions who will get killed, displaced and injured.
-m
no subject
Where it goes after that, I don't know... but given that by this point the economy will be falling in around Trump's ears, either he'll go all in and declare war hoping for a short victorious war to distract people, or he'll back down and China will slowly gobble up the Pacific nations in order to prop up their economy. [America is one of their biggest markets, without which their economy will implode, albeit slowly.]